US fighter jet shot down over Iran, Bitcoin wavers as geopolitical risk escalates

A U.S. fighter jet identified as an F-15 was shot down over Iran on April 3, with one crew member rescued and President Trump briefed, adding a sharp new layer of escalation to a conflict that has already pushed Bitcoin down more than 40% from its October 2025 all-time high.

A U.S. fighter jet identified as an F-15 was shot down over Iran on April 3, with one crew member rescued and President Trump briefed, adding a sharp new layer of escalation to a conflict that has already pushed Bitcoin (BTC) down more than 40% from its October 2025 all-time high. Iranian state media published images of the downed aircraft, which CNN analysis matched to an F-15. The White House press secretary confirmed that “President Trump has been briefed,” with live coverage updated at 1:12 p.m. EDT.

Bitcoin was trading near $67,000 at the time of writing, down modestly on the day. The downed aircraft adds a new variable to an already fragile macro backdrop. As crypto.news has tracked, Bitcoin has repeatedly tested the $65,000–$67,000 range as a support zone during periods of heightened U.S.–Iran tension, with sharper downside reserved for moments of genuine escalation — the initial U.S. strikes sent BTC briefly to $63,000 before markets stabilized.

The incident lands on Good Friday, with traditional U.S. equity markets closed for the Easter holiday. Oil, already trading above $100 per barrel amid the ongoing Strait of Hormuz closure, could spike sharply when Asian markets open overnight. A sustained move higher in oil would intensify inflation concerns and further reduce the Federal Reserve’s room to cut rates — a combination that has been the dominant headwind for crypto since the conflict began.

Trump’s Hormuz signal

In a separate post on X, Trump suggested the Strait of Hormuz could be reopened “with a little more time” — a statement investors read as leaving space for a negotiated resolution even as military operations continue. As crypto.news reported on April 2, Trump had addressed the nation from the White House describing U.S. forces as nearing the “final stages” of the campaign while warning of continued strikes over the following weeks. The contradiction between active military pressure and diplomatic signaling has kept markets in an uncertain holding pattern. For Bitcoin, any credible de-escalation — particularly one that restores Hormuz shipping and brings oil back below $100 — represents the single most significant potential catalyst for a sustained recovery from the current range.