QCP warns Strategy may sell more Bitcoin to fund dividends

Strategy has returned to the spotlight after QCP estimated its current liquidity runway for dividend payments at about seven and a half months.

According to market maker QCP, Strategy’s current liquidity position could support dividend payments for roughly seven and a half months, raising the possibility that the company may need to sell additional Bitcoin if alternative funding sources become less attractive.

The warning comes shortly after Strategy completed several balance-sheet transactions. QCP noted that the company repurchased nearly $1.5 billion of convertible notes due in 2029 while also raising about $200 million through sales of MSTR stock. Part of those proceeds funded another $100 million Bitcoin purchase, continuing the company’s long-running accumulation strategy.

Dividend obligations have become a focus

Attention has increasingly turned to how Strategy plans to manage future payout commitments tied to its capital structure.

In its market note, QCP argued that potential Bitcoin sales could emerge as one option if the company seeks to maintain dividends while continuing to operate its treasury strategy.

Those concerns surfaced after Strategy disclosed a sale of 32 BTC earlier this month, the first known reduction of its Bitcoin holdings. The transaction drew criticism from some crypto investors because Executive Chairman Michael Saylor has long promoted a buy-and-hold approach to Bitcoin ownership.

Addressing the sale in a June 13 interview, Strategy CEO Phong Le said the transaction was not driven by a need to raise cash for dividends. Le explained that the company conducted the sale to test internal procedures, generate tax losses that may offset future tax liabilities, and reduce potential market shock around future sales if they ever become necessary.

Le also rejected suggestions that Strategy lacks other financing options. According to the CEO, the company can still access equity issuance and preferred-stock financing to support its capital structure.

At the same time, Le acknowledged that management would evaluate both Bitcoin sales and share issuance based on financial outcomes rather than ideology. He said Strategy would choose whichever approach improves Bitcoin exposure per share for common shareholders.

Critics question the economics of new purchases

Separate criticism has come from Euro Pacific Capital chief Peter Schiff, who recently argued that Strategy’s model has become less effective than it was when MSTR stock traded at a substantial premium to the value of its Bitcoin holdings.

Schiff contended that earlier stock offerings increased Bitcoin exposure on a per-share basis because investors were willing to pay well above net asset value. In recent comments, he argued that issuing shares at lower valuations to purchase additional Bitcoin can dilute shareholders even as the company expands its overall Bitcoin reserve.

His remarks followed Strategy’s purchase of 1,550 BTC for approximately $101 million in early June. Schiff claimed the transaction reduced Bitcoin exposure per share and described the outcome as a “negative Bitcoin yield.”

Despite those concerns, Strategy has continued adding to its holdings. On June 15, Saylor disclosed another purchase of 1,587 BTC for roughly $100 million, bringing the company’s total Bitcoin holdings to 846,842 BTC.

The company also increased its dollar reserves to about $1.1 billion, providing additional liquidity while keeping its Bitcoin acquisition program in place.

Another point of debate involves Strategy’s STRC preferred shares. Schiff has argued that if those securities trade below their intended level, the company could face pressure to increase dividend payments, issue additional shares, or draw on cash reserves to meet obligations.