Will Pi Network price recover to $0.20 as bearish MACD momentum exhausts at the support floor?

Pi Network price is trading at $0.1672 on April 15, with the daily MACD histogram printing at exactly 0.0000 for the first time since the February all-time low, raising the question of whether the extended bearish phase that carried price from the $2.99 peak to the $0.1351 floor is finally losing its downward force.

Pi Network (PI) price is at $0.1672 on April 15, up 0.48% on the session, as the daily chart posts the first MACD histogram reading of exactly 0.0000 since the Feb. 11 all-time low at $0.1351. The flattening of the histogram at zero does not confirm a reversal on its own, but it marks the first session since the all-time low where the force of the downtrend has mathematically paused, occurring as price stabilizes directly above the annotated structural floor. The 24-hour volume stands at 14.7M PI, reflecting the consolidation conditions that have held since the bounce off the all-time low.

The full SMA ribbon remains bearish. SMA 20 at $0.1715, SMA 50 at $0.1852, SMA 100 at $0.1807, and SMA 200 at $0.2029 form sequential overhead resistance. None of the four averages have been reclaimed on a daily close since price broke below them in the fourth quarter of 2025. The key variable now is whether the MACD histogram moves from zero into positive territory, which would signal that momentum has shifted from deceleration to acceleration in the bull direction.

The MACD (12,26,9) on the Pi Network daily chart has printed a histogram reading of 0.0000 on April 15, with the MACD line at -0.0052 and the signal at -0.0052. Both lines remain below zero, confirming the macro trend is still bearish. The histogram reaching zero from below means the gap between the MACD and signal lines has collapsed to nothing, a necessary precondition before any bullish crossover can occur. In prior PI trading cycles, histogram readings approaching zero from the negative side have preceded short-term recoveries toward the nearest SMA resistance level.

The signal arrives at the most structurally significant level on the chart. The $0.1351 all-time low, set on Feb. 11, 2026, is the annotated support floor on the daily chart. It has held without a daily close below it since that date. Price bouncing repeatedly from this level while the MACD contracts toward zero describes the conditions for a potential base-building setup, conditional on the SMA 20 being reclaimed.

Pi Network completed its mainnet upgrade to Protocol v21 on April 14, introducing performance enhancements as the foundational step toward smart contract support via Protocol v23.0, scheduled for May 18. The v22.1 node upgrade deadline falls on April 22, the next milestone on the road to that smart contract launch.

Key Levels: Support, Resistance, and Price Targets

The $0.1351 all-time low is the structural floor. A daily close below it has not occurred since Feb. 11 and would expose uncharted territory with no prior chart reference below that level.

On the upside, the SMA 20 at $0.1715 is the immediate resistance and the first level a recovery must clear. A daily close above $0.1715 opens $0.20, which has capped multiple recovery attempts in 2026. The annotated horizontal resistance at $0.2804 is the extended bull case target if $0.20 is cleared and held on a daily close. The SMA 50 at $0.1852 sits between $0.1715 and $0.2804 and represents the midpoint resistance in any recovery sequence.

Invalidation: a daily close below $0.1351.

On-Chain and Market Data Context

Approximately 230 million PI tokens are scheduled to unlock over the next 30 days, adding consistent sell pressure to any technical recovery attempt. A single whale address has accumulated approximately 350 million PI, becoming the network’s sixth-largest holder, a signal of conviction accumulation at structural support even as the unlock schedule weighs on spot price.

Analyst @kwalaintel (40.2K followers on X) flagged that Pi faces “a major structural headwind” from daily token unlocks, identifying the supply and demand tension as the key variable that technical patterns alone cannot resolve. If the MACD histogram moves from zero into positive territory on a daily close, the SMA 20 at $0.1715 becomes the primary nearterm target, with $0.20 as the level that would confirm a sustained recovery attempt is underway.