Can Render price rally to $2.64 as a W pattern takes shape on the daily chart?

Render price is up 3.55% on April 9 as a W pattern develops across the daily chart, with the Supertrend flipping green and the MACD histogram turning positive for the first time in months. The $2.646 resistance is the pattern confirmation trigger and the immediate bull case target.

Render (RENDER) price is trading at $2.071 on April 9, up 3.55% on the session, as a W pattern takes shape on the daily chart following a seven-month decline from 2025 highs above $3.50. The token has printed two distinct lows, the first in September 2025 and the second in February 2026, and is now pushing toward the $2.646 resistance level that capped the January recovery attempt. The daily Supertrend has flipped green and the MACD histogram has turned positive for the first time in months, supporting the early recovery case.

The daily chart shows Render forming a W pattern, defined by two successive troughs separated by a brief interim high. The first low appeared in September 2025 during a broader AI token sector sell-off, and the second developed through February and March 2026 after price failed to break the $2.646 resistance ceiling. Price is now rising from the second trough with improving momentum, but pattern confirmation requires a sustained daily close above $2.646.

The Supertrend indicator (10,3) has turned green at $1.631, marking its first bullish reading after an extended bearish period. The MACD (12,26,9) supports the shift: the MACD line sits at 0.023, the signal at 0.100, and the histogram is printing a positive 0.077. The expanding positive histogram bars confirm that buying pressure is building, even as the MACD line has not yet crossed above the signal.

Wintermute, a leading algorithmic market maker, noted in a recent market intelligence update that AI stocks have been siphoning liquidity from crypto-native AI tokens, a dynamic that contributed to RENDER’s slide from the March high of $3.17 before the current base began forming.

Key Levels: Support, Resistance, and Price Targets

The $2.646 level is the immediate resistance and the W pattern confirmation trigger. A confirmed daily close above it opens the extended bull case toward $3.00, the nearest psychological level on the daily chart. If momentum accelerates from there, the March 2026 high near $3.17 represents the next reference point.

On the downside, the Supertrend at $1.631 is the primary support to monitor. A daily close below that level shifts the indicator back to red and invalidates the recovery thesis. The February 2026 lows near $1.20 represent the last structural demand zone before the W pattern collapses entirely.

Invalidation: a daily close below $1.631.

On-Chain and Market Data Context

Render connects GPU providers with users requiring compute power for AI inference and 3D rendering, giving the token direct exposure to AI sector sentiment. RENDER surged 40% to $3.17 on March 11 as AI token sentiment briefly recovered before sector-wide selling resumed. Daily trading volume on April 9 stands at 3.24 million RENDER tokens, reflecting sustained participation as price builds from the second W pattern trough.

According to Coinglass data, funding rates in RENDER perpetual contracts have shifted from negative toward neutral as price recovered from the February base, consistent with short-side pressure beginning to ease and a healthier foundation for a sustained move.

If RENDER holds $1.631 on a daily close basis and volume supports the advance, a test of the $2.646 W pattern trigger becomes the near-term base case, with $3.00 the next level to watch on a confirmed breakout.