- Polymarket launched daily up/down and closing-price bracket contracts for Tesla, Nvidia, Apple, gold, and WTI crude oil, automatically resolved by Pyth Network’s feeds from more than 90 institutional contributors.
- Intercontinental Exchange (NYSE’s operator) has committed a combined US$1.6 billion to Polymarket, which now processes more than US$20 billion in monthly trading volume.
- The expansion blurs the boundary between prediction markets and regulated derivatives, intensifying a CFTC jurisdiction dispute that has already prompted federal lawsuits against three US states.
Prediction market giant Polymarket has introduced on-chain daily prediction markets for US equities, commodities, and ETFs, using Pyth Network’s real-time price feeds to settle contracts automatically, marking a direct expansion into traditional financial markets.
The new markets allow users to trade on price movements of assets including Tesla, Coinbase, Nvidia, Apple, gold, silver, WTI crude oil, and natural gas, alongside major equity indices.
Two contract formats are offered: “up/down” markets, where traders predict whether an asset closes above or below its opening price, and “bracket” markets, where users select a specific closing price range. Each contract resets at the end of the trading day.
Related: Startup’s $15K Bet Backfires: P2P.me Apologises for Polymarket Misstep
Pyth Network as On-Chain Settlement Oracle
The system relies on Pyth as the on-chain settlement oracle. Pyth aggregates pricing data from more than 90 primary contributors, including trading firms and market makers actively involved in the underlying assets, and publishes those feeds directly to blockchain networks.
This approach differs from oracle models that depend on secondary data sources. Chainlink currently dominates the sector with about 64% of total value secured, while Pyth and RedStone each hold roughly 5%, making this integration a notable distribution gain for Pyth.
Alongside the rollout, Pyth launched Pyth Terminal, a real-time data interface showing reference prices used to settle contracts, giving traders visibility into the benchmark price for each market.
Polymarket has been growing fast, with monthly trading volume increasing from US$1.2 billion (AU$1.74 billion) in 2025 to more than US$20 billion (AU$29.0 billion) by early 2026. Monthly unique wallets reached about 840,000 by February, nearly three times the level a year earlier.
Institutional backing has also expanded after Intercontinental Exchange invested US$600 million (AU$870 million) in March 2026, adding to a US$1 billion (AU$1.45 billion) stake from October 2025, valuing Polymarket at around US$12 billion (AU$17.4 billion).
Rival Kalshi is valued between US$20 billion and US$22 billion (AU$29.0 billion to AU$31.9 billion).
Read more: Polymarket and Kalshi Race to Self-Regulate as Congress Targets Insider Trading
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